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Computer picks Spurs vs Pistons: Our best player projections for February 23

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Tonight’s NBA game is undoubtedly San Antonio Spurs vs. Detroit Pistons, with both teams riding extended winning streaks.

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We ran our own NBA player projections to see where the lines don’t quite match the numbers.

If you’re locking in your NBA picks, these Spurs vs. Pistons are where the model sees value on Monday, February 23.

Computerized Spurs vs Pistons predictions for February 22

Spurs

Pistons

Champagne o7.5 points
-112

Thompson o8.5 points
-125

Wembanyama o23.5 points
-115

Cunningham u27.5 points
-110

Vassell o1.5 assists
+100

Harris o5.5 rebounds
+115

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Stimulates computer choices

Julian Champagnie Over 7.5 points (-112)

Projection: 9.1 points

Julian Champagnie doesn’t need prepared plays to erase this number. Some catch-and-shoot looks and a trip in transition put him on pace. The model has Champagnie north of nine points, giving it a comfortable margin above 7.5.

He has exceeded this number in seven of his last nine games.

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Victor Wembanyama Over 23.5 points (-115)

Projection: 24.8 points

Victor Wembanyama has enough use to live in the mid 20s most nights. He scores inside, stretches the floor and gets to the line, which keeps his floor high. The projection places Wembanyama almost a full bucket above this line.

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He surpassed that number in five of eight games in February.

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Devin Vassell Over 1.5 assists (+100)

Projection: 2.1 assists

Devin Vassell only needs two assists to collect this result, and this is perfectly within his normal role. With the ball constantly in his hands, a couple of simple kick-outs or drive-and-dish reads get him there. The model gives Vassell a solid even strength advantage.

He has surpassed this number in three straight and in five of the last six.

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Computerized piston picks

Ausar Thompson Over 8.5 points (-125)

Projection: 10.6 points

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Ausar Thompson scores more points on activity than isolation. Cuts, offensive rebounds and transition chances add up quickly. The projection is for Thompson to clear the double digits, creating a separation from this 8.5 line.

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Cade Cunningham Under 27.5 points (-110)

Projection: 25.5 points

Cade Cunningham is capable of a 30-point night, but the model points towards a mid-20s performance. If the defense crowds him and pushes the ball elsewhere, Cunningham’s scoring drops just enough to stay Under.

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Tobias Harris Over 5.5 rebounds (+115)

Projection: 5.9 rebounds

Tobias Harris logs consistent minutes and spends enough time around the paint to flirt with six rebounds. With more money, the projection gives Harris a small but playable edge on this number.

He has cleared 5.5 boards in three straight and in five of his last six.

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How to watch Spurs vs Pistons tonight

Position

Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

Date

Monday 23 February 2026

Suggestion

7pm ET

TV

Peacock

Not intended for use in MA.
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