NBA Free Agency 2025: the Oddsmaker react to important moves: “Rockets have done nothing but positive things”
It is difficult to believe that the NBA finals of 2025 ended just over a week ago, since the free agency was fast and furious, with more movements than the players than initially expected.
Damian Lillard? Now a free agent after the Milwaukee Bucks have given up using the arrangement of stretching. The Bucks also added Myles Turner of the free agent center with a four -year contract of $ 107 million in an attempt to keep the superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo happy.
Announcement
Kevin Durant? It is on Houston’s Rocket after a successful trade, together with several remarkable free agents, including Dorian Finney-Smith.
You can keep up with all the latest moves in the free agency here, but we thought it would have been prudent to ask Oddsmaker what they thought about the business so far.
“Houston, overall, I thought it had been very good,” said Thomas Gable, director of the sports book at the Borgata (a Betmgm book) to Atlantic City. “Also Atlanta. I’m still waiting to see what happens with Giannis.”
Which teams have improved their probability of the NBA title in a free agency and in the draft? What has worsened greatly?
Announcement
Yahoo Sports asked Jeff Sherman, vice -president of risk at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook – and his NBA handicapper – on his most improved and less improved teams in the free agency. Sherman noticed that he had three teams from the Western Conference (Thunder, Rockets, Nugget) classified higher than his first Eastern Conference team (Cavaliers).
Note: probability of courtesy of Betmgm
Four teams that have improved
Houston Rockets
Opening ODDS: +800 (Betmgm opened the chances of title 2025-26 after the Durant agreement)
Current probability: +800
Sherman: “I had opened them to 12-1 when we went for the first time, anticipating that they would be aggressive, and they are currently at +800. Adding Clint Capela, Durant, extending Steven Adams, signing Fred Vanvleet, they have not always done positive things. I have always liked things to do. ATTRADE other players like Capela and Finney-Smith.”
Announcement
Denver Nuggets
Opening ODDS: 16-1
Current probability: +600
Sherman: “I was struck by the moves they made. The trade of Michael Porter Jr. is not so fascinating with them to give up that unprotected choice of the first round, but Cam Johnson is a little more reliable than Porter Jr. Bruce Brown in a minimum agreement. Bench.
Orlando Magic
Opening ODDS: 18-1
Current probability: 12-1
Announcement
Sherman: “I remember last season when they were healthy, they started the season so well and people had great expectations. Then they had Paolo Banchero’s injury and Franz Wagner’s injury when Banchero was ready to return. They never found their foot later. They made a big leap in that oriental conference open with the desmond banne trade.”
Atlanta Hawks
Opening ODDS: 250-1
Current probability: 25-1
Sherman: “Taking Kristaps Porziņģis due to a salary landfill from Boston was a great move and added Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Luke Kennard. Jalen Johnson is returning [from a shoulder injury] Also.”
Lebron James has returned with the Lakers for now, but Los Angeles has not done much in the free agency. (AP Photo/Mark J. TerRill)
(Associated Press)
Four teams that have some work to do
Los Angeles Lakers
Opening ODDS: 15-1
Current probability: 16-1
Announcement
Sherman: “They were mostly sitting on the sidelines, only the move is signing Jake Laravia. But they lost Finney-Smith and did not turn to the central position, even if they are looking for. I am sitting at 16-1, but I will raise them from there if they don’t have a center.”
San Antonio Spurs
Opening ODDS: 25-1
Current probability: 50-1
Sherman: “I opened them with Houston thinking I can run to Giannis or Durant. In reality they didn’t do much and are holding on with their draft choices and this growth process. I went from 16 to 40-1.”
Boston Celtics
Opening ODDS: 16-1
Current probability: 40-1
Announcement
Sherman: “With Jayson Achille’s injury, they would have had to download some salary, but worsening him with Jrue Holiday’s agreement and Porziņģis’ trade (and losing Luke Kornet), they are out of 50-1 on them. They only have Amphernee Simons, Luka Garza and Josh Minott arriving.”
Indiana Pacers
Opening ODDS: 66-1
Current probability: 80-1
Sherman: “I feel bad for the base of Indiana fan. You are a victory far from the victory of the NBA championship and then you lose Tyrese Haliburton and now Turner. They could be lucky to play the playoffs next season.”