Celtics vs Heat Prediction, picks and odds for tonight’s NBA game

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After a double-digit loss to the Atlanta Hawks in their last game out, the Boston Celtics will look to get back on track when they take on the Miami Heat on the road at Kaseya Center.

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Boston is nearly at capacity for the first time in four games, and my Celtics vs. Heat predictions have the visiting team covering a modest spread.

Here are my top free NBA picks for this Eastern Conference matchup on Wednesday, April 1.

Celtics-Heat prediction

Best Celtics vs Heat bet: Celtics -4.5 (-110)

The Boston Celtics’ top trio of Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum and Derrick White have shared the court just six times in their last 10 games. The team is 5-1 overall when all three play together, and the C’s have won each of those games by five points or more.

Boston has traveled well this season, going 24-14 ATS on the road and 14-8 ATS as a road favorite. The Celtics dominated head-to-head matches with the Miami Heat, winning six and covering five of the final seven games of the regular season.

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Boston’s love of the three-point shot will come in handy tonight against Miami’s lackluster perimeter defense. Boston has made and attempted the third-most three-point shots and ranks ninth in three-point percentage this season. In their last 10 games, the Heat have surrendered the tenth highest three-pointers and the sixth-highest three-point percentage.

Boston loves to shoot the three-pointer, but volume has been king for the C’s, as the team ranks fifth in field goal attempts but just 20th in field goal percentage. Over the last 10, Miami has given up the fifth-most points and eighth-highest field goal percentage.

The Celtics have dealt with several key injuries in recent matchups, but the team is expected to be mostly healthy tonight in a primetime matchup with the Miami Heat. Talent among the starters, quality depth and advantage in the long-range shooting department give Boston the edge in South Beach.

Celtics vs Heat: Parlay of the same game

Boston’s top defense should be able to limit Miami’s formidable offensive attack, and the Celtics’ slow pace will limit the Heat’s possessions, meaning fewer opportunities for the home team to score. Boston has scored on the Under in 26 of 38 road games this season.

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Jaylen Brown has skyrocketed as Boston’s leader this season, averaging a career-best 40.9 PRA, including 41.9 on the road. He has reached the Over on this combo line in six consecutive and seven of the last eight, and has reached 40+ PRA in 22 of 31 road games

Celtics-Heat SGP

• Jaylen Brown Over 39.5 P/R/A

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Our SGP “from the center”: From the depths

Tatum has hit multiple 3-pointers in all 11 games he’s played this season, hitting 3+ five times, including two of the last three.

White hit three or more threes in 37 of 71 games, and reached that mark in two of three tilts with the Heat. He averages 2.7 three-pointers per game.

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Payton Pritchard takes 2.6 shots from beyond the arc per game, and has gone 3+ in 35 of 73 games overall. He hit four 3-pointers in his last game with Miami.

Hauser is averaging a career-best 2.5 three-pointers on a career-worst 38.2% from long range. He’ll get an edge against an exploitable Heat perimeter defense, and he’s hit three or more threes in each of his last two against Miami.

Celtics-Heat SGP

• Jayson Tatum Over 2.5 threes

• Derrick White Over 2.5 threes

• Payton Pritchard Over 2.5 threes

• Sam Hauser Over 2.5 threes

Celtics vs Heat betting

• Diffusion: Celtic -5 | Heat +5

• Moneyline: Celtic -210 | Heat +175

• Above/Below: Over 228.5 | Below 228.5

Celtics vs Heat betting trend to know

The Boston Celtics have achieved a Game Total Under in 36 of their last 50 games (+20.60 units / 37% ROI). Check out more NBA betting trends for Celtics vs. Heat.

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How to watch Celtics vs Heat

Latest injuries between Celtics and Heat

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